PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

83.27 – 88.51

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 169.1 ±11.7

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 7.09Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 57.31Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 18.87Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.8 ±11

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 55.1Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9522Archimedes

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 14.93Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 18.48Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9582, 1746, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9582, 1746, 3815

Auto

20.3 24%

Teleop

30.0 36%

Endgame

33.0 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6340, 9522, 5651

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6340, 9522, 5651

Auto

19.8 23%

Teleop

40.3 47%

Endgame

25.2 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score83.3pts

Blue projected score88.5pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -5.2
Score range: 61–111
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 121 vs event baseline 124.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

169.1Season APEX173.8

20.3Auto19.8

30Teleop40.3

33Endgame25.2

10Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	11
teleop	15	52
endgame	9	24
foul	0	0
total	34	87

Result

Final score

34 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 25.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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