PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

100.7 – 281.36

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 72.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.2 ±11.7

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 57.21Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 5.45Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 38.04Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398.4 ±10.5

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 255.7Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 12.47Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 13.19Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6340, 9582, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6340, 9582, 8577

Auto

18.7 19%

Teleop

55.2 56%

Endgame

24.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1833, 3344, 8865

/ 100 compat

Projected

281.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 3344, 8865

Auto

49.1 18%

Teleop

158.7 57%

Endgame

70.3 25%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score100.7pts

Blue projected score281.4pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -180.7
Score range: 80–302
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 527 vs event baseline 114.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.2Season APEX398.4

18.7Auto49.1

55.2Teleop158.7

24Endgame70.3

0Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	59
teleop	57	260
endgame	51	71
foul	0	10
total	127	400

Result

Final score

127 – 400

Prediction correct · off by 72.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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