PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

80.58 – 114.47

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

59 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134.8 ±12.8

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 14.91Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 58.81Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX 6.86Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 203 ±10.4

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 27.12Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 52.77Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 34.58Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9086, 6340, 1795

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9086, 6340, 1795

Auto

18.6 24%

Teleop

42.6 54%

Endgame

17.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11174, 1746, 8577

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.5 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11174, 1746, 8577

Auto

26.5 23%

Teleop

55.5 48%

Endgame

33.3 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.6pts

Blue projected score114.5pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.9
Score range: 60–135
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 115.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134.8Season APEX203

18.6Auto26.5

42.6Teleop55.5

17Endgame33.3

0Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	18
teleop	30	92
endgame	18	41
foul	0	0
total	59	151

Result

Final score

59 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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