PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

127.82 – 35.39

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

199 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 191.6 ±11.7

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 30.76Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 11.08Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1683Techno Titans

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 85.98Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 85 ±13.3

2415WiredCats

Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 14.64Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 15.84Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 4.91Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8577, 9086, 1683

/ 100 compat

Projected

127.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8577, 9086, 1683

Auto

22.0 18%

Teleop

70.4 56%

Endgame

33.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2415, 5651, 9582

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2415, 5651, 9582

Auto

22.6 64%

Teleop

12.9 36%

Endgame

0.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score127.8pts

Blue projected score35.4pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.4
Score range: 15–148
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 224 vs event baseline 113.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

191.6Season APEX85

22Auto22.6

70.4Teleop12.9

33.2Endgame0

59Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	12
teleop	130	12
endgame	22	1
foul	0	0
total	199	25

Result

Final score

199 – 25

Prediction correct · off by 40.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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