PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.79 – 101.93

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 123.9 ±12.8

8849Storm Robotics

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX -27.32Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX 18.82Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 34.29Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.2 ±11

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 45.41Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 4.05Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6340The Marist Manatees

Season APEX 81.9Event APEX 52.47Rank 7Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8849, 8761, 5219

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8849, 8761, 5219

Auto

9.0 50%

Teleop

3.2 18%

Endgame

5.7 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1746, 9561, 6340

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1746, 9561, 6340

Auto

17.1 17%

Teleop

39.0 38%

Endgame

45.5 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.8pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.1
Score range: 6–122
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 268 vs event baseline 110.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

123.9Season APEX242.2

9Auto17.1

3.2Teleop39

5.7Endgame45.5

49Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	21
teleop	19	105
endgame	12	71
foul	0	0
total	71	197

Result

Final score

71 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 70.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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