PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

112.35 – 0

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

125 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.5 ±11.7

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 31.75Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 62.57Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX 18.03Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 94.9 ±13.3

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 2.81Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX -3.21Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8849Storm Robotics

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX -37.07Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8577, 10482, 8761

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8577, 10482, 8761

Auto

36.9 35%

Teleop

55.6 53%

Endgame

11.8 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8865, 1795, 8849

/ 100 compat

Projected

-37.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8865, 1795, 8849

Auto

0.7 0%

Teleop

-23.5 65%

Endgame

-13.4 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.2 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score112.4pts

Blue projected score-37.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.4
Score range: -20–132
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 111.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.5Season APEX94.9

36.9Auto0.7

55.6Teleop-23.5

11.8Endgame-13.4

0Consistency111

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	18
teleop	71	22
endgame	35	9
foul	0	15
total	125	64

Result

Final score

125 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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