Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.83 – 90.92
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
24 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 38.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±11
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 34.73Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 18.89Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 22.21Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 180.9 ±11
Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 28.27Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 39.3Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 23.35Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9522, 6705, 8815
50
/ 100 compatProjected
75.8 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9522, 6705, 8815
Auto
19.5 28%
Teleop
37.5 54%
Endgame
12.6 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4509, 5219, 5651
51
/ 100 compatProjected
90.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4509, 5219, 5651
Auto
8.7 10%
Teleop
58.6 66%
Endgame
21.7 24%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 33%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.8pts
Blue projected score90.9pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 33%, blue 31%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15.1
- Score range
- 57–110
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
161.6Season APEX180.9
19.5Auto8.7
37.5Teleop58.6
12.6Endgame21.7
8Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 20 | 16 |
| teleop | 0 | 24 |
| endgame | 4 | 25 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 24 | 65 |
Result
Final score
24 – 65
Prediction correct · off by 38.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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