PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.88 – 108.79

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

257 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.8 ±11.7

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 243.85Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 16.49Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 12.54Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.9 ±11.7

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX 22.9Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 58.1Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 27.79Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1833, 9561, 9086

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1833, 9561, 9086

Auto

62.3 23%

Teleop

143.6 53%

Endgame

64.8 24%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8761, 1414, 4509

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8761, 1414, 4509

Auto

13.0 12%

Teleop

74.0 71%

Endgame

17.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score272.9pts

Blue projected score108.8pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 164.1
Score range: 90–292
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 108.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

388.8Season APEX178.9

62.3Auto13

143.6Teleop74

64.8Endgame17.1

102Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	19
teleop	160	37
endgame	62	28
foul	0	10
total	257	94

Result

Final score

257 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 15.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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