Qualification · Qualification 34
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 0
46%54%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
43 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 77.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 74.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 35.7Event APEX 11.13Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 11.72Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 18.7Event APEX -56.98Rank 30Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -25.68Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 25.8Event APEX -19.39Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 24.89Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8815, 2415, 8849
30
/ 100 compatProjected
-34.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8815, 2415, 8849
Auto
-7.5 22%
Teleop
-17.2 50%
Endgame
-9.8 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4459, 1795, 1746
2
/ 100 compatProjected
-20.2 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 4459, 1795, 1746
Auto
3.3 0%
Teleop
-30.6 100%
Endgame
11.1 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 24%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.47
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-34.1pts
Blue projected score-20.2pts
Red win probability46%
Event bonus sample150alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 24%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- -20–20
- Upset likelihood
- 46%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
74.2Season APEX156.5
-7.5Auto3.3
-17.2Teleop-30.6
-9.8Endgame11.1
129Consistency115
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 21 |
| teleop | 23 | 60 |
| endgame | 7 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 43 | 112 |
Result
Final score
43 – 112
Prediction correct · off by 77.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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