PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

103.65 – 97.38

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

138 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 22 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.4 ±10.4

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 59.52Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11174Danes Robotics

Season APEX 32Event APEX 27.07Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 17.06Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 184.8 ±10.4

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 29.04Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 66.5Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 1.84Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10482, 11174, 6705

/ 100 compat

Projected

103.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10482, 11174, 6705

Auto

43.1 43%

Teleop

40.8 41%

Endgame

16.5 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8577, 1414, 3344

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8577, 1414, 3344

Auto

33.7 34%

Teleop

43.7 44%

Endgame

21.5 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score103.7pts

Blue projected score97.4pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.3
Score range: 78–123
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 105.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.4Season APEX184.8

43.1Auto33.7

40.8Teleop43.7

16.5Endgame21.5

9Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	20
teleop	89	68
endgame	21	19
foul	0	0
total	138	107

Result

Final score

138 – 107

Prediction correct · off by 22 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.