PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

80.36 – 52.61

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

71 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 5.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 181.4 ±11.7

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 63.5Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX -17.95Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 34.81Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 134.7 ±11.7

8577Georgia Cyber Academy Champions

Season APEX 68.7Event APEX 26.18Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2415WiredCats

Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 12.57Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 13.86Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10482, 4459, 5219

/ 100 compat

Projected

80.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10482, 4459, 5219

Auto

15.4 19%

Teleop

38.9 49%

Endgame

24.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8577, 2415, 3815

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8577, 2415, 3815

Auto

9.2 17%

Teleop

41.2 78%

Endgame

2.4 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.61 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score80.4pts

Blue projected score52.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.8
Score range: 35–98
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 126 vs event baseline 102.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

181.4Season APEX134.7

15.4Auto9.2

38.9Teleop41.2

24.9Endgame2.4

47Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	19
teleop	47	25
endgame	4	11
foul	0	0
total	71	55

Result

Final score

71 – 55

Prediction correct · off by 5.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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