PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.78 – 50.79

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 33 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 450.6 ±10.5

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 33.13Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1833Team BEAN

A+

Season APEX 303.7Event APEX 235.29Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5651Maynard Jackson RoboJags

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 34.36Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 162.4 ±12.2

1795Carver Clutch

Season APEX 25.8Event APEX -1.78Rank 29Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6705Wildcat5e

Season APEX 78.6Event APEX 30.37Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9561Dawson Dinos

Season APEX 58Event APEX 22.2Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1746, 1833, 5651

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1746, 1833, 5651

Auto

46.3 15%

Teleop

184.4 61%

Endgame

71.7 24%

Strengths

· 1833 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1795, 6705, 9561

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.8 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1795, 6705, 9561

Auto

19.6 39%

Teleop

21.1 42%

Endgame

10.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score302.8pts

Blue projected score50.8pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 252
Score range: 34–320
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 97.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

450.6Season APEX162.4

46.3Auto19.6

184.4Teleop21.1

71.7Endgame10.1

75Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	8
teleop	155	3
endgame	75	0
foul	0	0
total	329	11

Result

Final score

329 – 11

Prediction correct · off by 33 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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