PCH District Gainesville Event presented by Honeywell

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.21 – 69.51

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

10 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 134 ±11.7

4509Mechanical Bulls

Season APEX 69.1Event APEX 41.41Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -11.48Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 8.28Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 156 ±12.2

8865Dacula Droids

Season APEX 50.4Event APEX 13.56Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10482BuzzBots

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 43.48Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2415WiredCats

Season APEX 19.8Event APEX 12.47Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4509, 9582, 3344

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4509, 9582, 3344

Auto

5.8 16%

Teleop

28.8 78%

Endgame

2.3 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8865, 10482, 2415

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8865, 10482, 2415

Auto

31.9 44%

Teleop

31.4 44%

Endgame

8.5 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.2pts

Blue projected score69.5pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample150alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -31.3
Score range: 20–88
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 114 vs event baseline 99.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

134Season APEX156

5.8Auto31.9

28.8Teleop31.4

2.3Endgame8.5

71Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	17
teleop	1	68
endgame	0	19
foul	0	0
total	10	104

Result

Final score

10 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 31.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.