Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
69.11 – 52.44
55%45%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
73 – 96
Prediction missed · off by 23.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.2 ±10.4
Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 35.96Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 23.33Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 9.82Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.1 ±10.4
Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 12.03Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 16.96Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 23.45Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1746, 4112, 9480
52
/ 100 compatProjected
69.1 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1746, 4112, 9480
Auto
14.7 23%
Teleop
31.5 49%
Endgame
18.3 28%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6023, 5219, 832
41
/ 100 compatProjected
52.4 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6023, 5219, 832
Auto
18.8 37%
Teleop
21.2 41%
Endgame
11.3 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 28%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.16
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score69.1pts
Blue projected score52.4pts
Red win probability55%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 28%, blue 22%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 16.7
- Score range
- 35–86
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
243.2Season APEX212.1
14.7Auto18.8
31.5Teleop21.2
18.3Endgame11.3
27Consistency31
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 19 | 24 |
| teleop | 35 | 51 |
| endgame | 19 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 73 | 96 |
Result
Final score
73 – 96
Prediction missed · off by 23.7 pts
Match videos
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