PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

130.84 – 39.57

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

106 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 274.7 ±10.7

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 25.32Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 54.5Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 51.02Rank 5Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.1 ±10.4

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 7.88Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5219TeknoSquad 5219

Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 12.42Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 19.27Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4730, 9477, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

130.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4730, 9477, 7451

Auto

12.1 10%

Teleop

81.4 64%

Endgame

33.1 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6023, 5219, 832

/ 100 compat

Projected

39.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6023, 5219, 832

Auto

19.9 52%

Teleop

10.8 28%

Endgame

7.7 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score130.8pts

Blue projected score39.6pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.3
Score range: 23–148
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 94.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

274.7Season APEX212.1

12.1Auto19.9

81.4Teleop10.8

33.1Endgame7.7

1Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	16
teleop	69	61
endgame	14	23
foul	0	0
total	106	100

Result

Final score

106 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 42.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.