PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

74.47 – 71.41

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

72 – 77

Prediction missed · off by 4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.5 ±11.7

8849Storm Robotics

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 12.46Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 41.47Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 20.54Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±9.8

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 35.4Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 14.72Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 21.29Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8849, 4026, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8849, 4026, 8866

Auto

17.8 25%

Teleop

37.9 54%

Endgame

14.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8736, 11214, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8736, 11214, 6887

Auto

22.6 35%

Teleop

31.8 49%

Endgame

10.0 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.5pts

Blue projected score71.4pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.1
Score range: 54–91
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 149 vs event baseline 93.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.5Season APEX223.1

17.8Auto22.6

37.9Teleop31.8

14.5Endgame10

0Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	19
teleop	46	52
endgame	11	6
foul	0	0
total	72	77

Result

Final score

72 – 77

Prediction missed · off by 4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.