PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

32.46 – 14.76

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

50 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 166.1 ±12.4

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 12.96Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8849Storm Robotics

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 11.14Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 8.36Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 163.1 ±10.4

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 6.65Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 4.18Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 3.93Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 8849, 7514

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 8849, 7514

Auto

14.5 48%

Teleop

10.1 33%

Endgame

5.8 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9480, 5608, 6905

/ 100 compat

Projected

14.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9480, 5608, 6905

Auto

10.3 75%

Teleop

6.6 48%

Endgame

-3.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 13%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.5pts

Blue projected score14.8pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 13%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.7
Score range: -2–49
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 79 vs event baseline 94.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

166.1Season APEX163.1

14.5Auto10.3

10.1Teleop6.6

5.8Endgame-3.2

21Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	20
teleop	19	9
endgame	7	0
foul	10	0
total	50	29

Result

Final score

50 – 29

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.