PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.05 – 94.73

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 141.8 ±11.6

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 5.28Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -0.07Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 19.84Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 270.1 ±10.4

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 20.12Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 31.16Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 43.45Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6023, 7676, 10338

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6023, 7676, 10338

Auto

19.3 63%

Teleop

8.5 28%

Endgame

2.8 9%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8866, 1746, 3329

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8866, 1746, 3329

Auto

11.4 13%

Teleop

49.6 58%

Endgame

24.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.68

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.1pts

Blue projected score94.7pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -69.7
Score range: 8–112
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 94.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

141.8Season APEX270.1

19.3Auto11.4

8.5Teleop49.6

2.8Endgame24.4

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	27
teleop	38	54
endgame	27	18
foul	0	5
total	71	104

Result

Final score

71 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 27.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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