PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 59

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.23 – 183.6

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

167 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 302.3 ±12.4

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX 3.14Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 80.45Rank 7Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 21.64Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.3 ±10.7

9477Lambda (λ)

Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 52.93Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 105.72Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 24.95Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8761, 2974, 4730

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8761, 2974, 4730

Auto

25.1 24%

Teleop

52.3 50%

Endgame

26.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9477, 6919, 10376

/ 100 compat

Projected

183.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9477, 6919, 10376

Auto

27.4 15%

Teleop

117.1 64%

Endgame

37.5 21%

Strengths

· 6919 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 1.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.2pts

Blue projected score183.6pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.4
Score range: 88–201
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 364 vs event baseline 92.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

302.3Season APEX369.3

25.1Auto27.4

52.3Teleop117.1

26.5Endgame37.5

62Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	41
teleop	78	123
endgame	76	33
foul	0	0
total	167	197

Result

Final score

167 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 37.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.