PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.01 – 46.95

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

34 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 68 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.3 ±12.4

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 89.53Rank 7Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8849Storm Robotics

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 19.8Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6712Mountaineers

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 10.68Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.5 ±11.7

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX 4.09Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 43.13Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX -0.27Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 8849, 6712

/ 100 compat

Projected

120 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 8849, 6712

Auto

27.5 24%

Teleop

56.2 48%

Endgame

32.3 28%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6023, 6772, 9770

/ 100 compat

Projected

46.9 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6023, 6772, 9770

Auto

27.8 62%

Teleop

10.1 22%

Endgame

7.1 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 22%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.68 · Blue 0.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score120pts

Blue projected score46.9pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 22%, blue 18%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 73.1
Score range: 30–137
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-18
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 131 vs event baseline 92.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.3Season APEX193.5

27.5Auto27.8

56.2Teleop10.1

32.3Endgame7.1

37Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	20
teleop	18	54
endgame	5	23
foul	0	0
total	34	97

Result

Final score

34 – 97

Prediction missed · off by 68 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.