PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.62 – 200.01

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.4 ±11

1746Team OTTO

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 27.94Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 0.46Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -1.78Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 478 ±9.3

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 62.79Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 41.62Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 95.6Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1746, 9480, 7676

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1746, 9480, 7676

Auto

13.7 56%

Teleop

9.2 38%

Endgame

1.4 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6829, 6772, 6919

/ 100 compat

Projected

200 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6829, 6772, 6919

Auto

35.3 18%

Teleop

111.6 57%

Endgame

50.3 26%

Strengths

· 6919 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 20%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.6pts

Blue projected score200pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 20%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.4
Score range: 11–216
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 292 vs event baseline 91.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.4Season APEX478

13.7Auto35.3

9.2Teleop111.6

1.4Endgame50.3

18Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	26
teleop	24	144
endgame	9	78
foul	0	0
total	44	248

Result

Final score

44 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 32.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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