Qualification · Qualification 45
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
0 – 78.35
27%73%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
85 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 2.81Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.9Event APEX -10.17Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 7.25Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.3 ±12.4
Season APEX 38Event APEX -3.82Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 21.85Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 97.2Event APEX 60.32Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8866, 7514, 4112
1
/ 100 compatProjected
-0.1 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 8866, 7514, 4112
Auto
8.5 100%
Teleop
-5.7 0%
Endgame
-2.8 0%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8761, 4730, 9477
52
/ 100 compatProjected
78.4 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8761, 4730, 9477
Auto
9.2 11%
Teleop
52.4 65%
Endgame
18.7 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.8 · Blue 1.7
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score-0.1pts
Blue projected score78.4pts
Red win probability27%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 21%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -78.3
- Score range
- -16–94
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
225.7Season APEX169.3
8.5Auto9.2
-5.7Teleop52.4
-2.8Endgame18.7
68Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 16 | 14 |
| teleop | 43 | 52 |
| endgame | 26 | 26 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 85 | 97 |
Result
Final score
85 – 97
Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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