PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.07 – 111.64

37%63%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 124.7 ±12.8

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 17.14Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 30.3Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8849Storm Robotics

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 20.63Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.7 ±9.3

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 53.65Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 37.79Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 20.2Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 832, 10376, 8849

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 832, 10376, 8849

Auto

12.6 20%

Teleop

33.2 52%

Endgame

18.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6829, 3329, 11214

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.6 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6829, 3329, 11214

Auto

11.8 12%

Teleop

54.9 54%

Endgame

34.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.1pts

Blue projected score111.6pts

Red win probability37%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 22%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -43.6
Score range: 52–128
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 246 vs event baseline 90.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

124.7Season APEX316.7

12.6Auto11.8

33.2Teleop54.9

18.5Endgame34.1

23Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	14
teleop	32	128
endgame	14	38
foul	5	0
total	66	180

Result

Final score

66 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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