Qualification · Qualification 43
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
12.88 – 184.68
11%89%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
30 – 295
Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 143.8 ±11
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 9.22Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -4.76Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 8.42Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 576.3 ±9.3
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 81.26Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.5Event APEX -4.6Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 108.02Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5608, 7676, 5219
6
/ 100 compatProjected
12.9 pts
~0.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5608, 7676, 5219
Auto
12.3 100%
Teleop
-9.9 0%
Endgame
9.6 80%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6919, 6023, 1002
83
/ 100 compatProjected
184.7 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 6919, 6023, 1002
Auto
37.1 20%
Teleop
96.6 53%
Endgame
49.1 27%
Strengths
- · 1002 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 16%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.41 · Blue 2.18
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score12.9pts
Blue projected score184.7pts
Red win probability11%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 16%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -171.8
- Score range
- -3–201
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
143.8Season APEX576.3
12.3Auto37.1
-9.9Teleop96.6
9.6Endgame49.1
21Consistency17
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 63 |
| teleop | 7 | 170 |
| endgame | 11 | 62 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 30 | 295 |
Result
Final score
30 – 295
Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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