PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.89 – 100.99

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

53 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.1 ±12.2

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX 0.97Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 25.27Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6712Mountaineers

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 9.65Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 326.3 ±9.8

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 39.51Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 3.53Rank 15Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 57.95Rank 5Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8866, 10338, 6712

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8866, 10338, 6712

Auto

13.7 35%

Teleop

11.5 29%

Endgame

14.3 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4026, 9480, 7451

/ 100 compat

Projected

101 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4026, 9480, 7451

Auto

17.0 17%

Teleop

59.6 59%

Endgame

24.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 1.76

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.9pts

Blue projected score101pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.1
Score range: 20–117
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 153 vs event baseline 89.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.1Season APEX326.3

13.7Auto17

11.5Teleop59.6

14.3Endgame24.4

47Consistency12

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	22
teleop	21	71
endgame	10	7
foul	0	0
total	53	100

Result

Final score

53 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.