PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

32.91 – 26.75

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

57 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.2 ±9.8

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 18.63Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX -5.59Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 19.87Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 108.9 ±13.3

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 31.18Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX -2.06Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -2.37Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11214, 6023, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11214, 6023, 6887

Auto

23.2 88%

Teleop

5.2 20%

Endgame

-2.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10376, 8761, 7676

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10376, 8761, 7676

Auto

10.4 33%

Teleop

17.6 56%

Endgame

3.2 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 15%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.9pts

Blue projected score26.8pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 15%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.2
Score range: 11–49
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 89 vs event baseline 88.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.2Season APEX108.9

23.2Auto10.4

5.2Teleop17.6

-2Endgame3.2

102Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	21
teleop	24	8
endgame	7	3
foul	0	0
total	57	32

Result

Final score

57 – 32

Prediction correct · off by 14.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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