Qualification · Qualification 39
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
55.97 – 55.21
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
118 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 31.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 182.4 ±11
Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 33Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 4.85Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32Event APEX 18.12Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 134.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 11.48Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 14.3Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 29.43Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4026, 5608, 10338
38
/ 100 compatProjected
56 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4026, 5608, 10338
Auto
20.1 34%
Teleop
15.3 26%
Endgame
24.6 41%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5219, 9770, 4730
46
/ 100 compatProjected
55.2 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5219, 9770, 4730
Auto
8.7 16%
Teleop
26.9 51%
Endgame
17.6 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 31%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.24
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score56pts
Blue projected score55.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 31%, blue 20%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.8
- Score range
- 39–72
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
182.4Season APEX134.9
20.1Auto8.7
15.3Teleop26.9
24.6Endgame17.6
20Consistency15
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 19 |
| teleop | 69 | 11 |
| endgame | 28 | 19 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 118 | 54 |
Result
Final score
118 – 54
Prediction correct · off by 31.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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