PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

19.16 – 42.77

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

109 – 39

Prediction missed · off by 46.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.2 ±11.7

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX -21.62Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 19.74Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 21.04Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.7 ±11.7

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 5.88Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX -1.23Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6772The Marist Manta Rays

Season APEX 81.4Event APEX 38.12Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6023, 4026, 10376

/ 100 compat

Projected

19.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6023, 4026, 10376

Auto

16.9 72%

Teleop

-0.8 0%

Endgame

7.5 32%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5608, 8761, 6772

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5608, 8761, 6772

Auto

22.6 53%

Teleop

7.2 17%

Endgame

12.8 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.34

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score19.2pts

Blue projected score42.8pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 16%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.6
Score range: 3–59
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 148 vs event baseline 87.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.2Season APEX164.7

16.9Auto22.6

-0.8Teleop7.2

7.5Endgame12.8

38Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	17
teleop	63	10
endgame	14	12
foul	0	0
total	109	39

Result

Final score

109 – 39

Prediction missed · off by 46.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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