PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.2 – 65.62

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 99.8 ±13.3

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -4.13Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4730Terminators

Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 35.91Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6712Mountaineers

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 12.42Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.9 ±11.2

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 9.81Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 42.47Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 13.34Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7676, 4730, 6712

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7676, 4730, 6712

Auto

17.2 33%

Teleop

34.8 67%

Endgame

-0.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9770, 6829, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9770, 6829, 6887

Auto

6.5 11%

Teleop

37.1 64%

Endgame

14.0 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 16%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.2pts

Blue projected score65.6pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 16%, blue 25%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.4
Score range: 28–82
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 165 vs event baseline 88.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

99.8Season APEX261.9

17.2Auto6.5

34.8Teleop37.1

-0.3Endgame14

24Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	15
teleop	11	95
endgame	9	23
foul	0	0
total	32	133

Result

Final score

32 – 133

Prediction correct · off by 39.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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