PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.92 – 42.64

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

229 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 71.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.5 ±9.8

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 0Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 23.67Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 91.25Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 153.4 ±12.2

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX -4.67Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1033810338 - CircuitMakers

Season APEX 32Event APEX 17.58Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 29.73Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4112, 3329, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4112, 3329, 1002

Auto

20.9 19%

Teleop

60.5 55%

Endgame

29.0 26%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8761, 10338, 8736

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8761, 10338, 8736

Auto

18.7 39%

Teleop

10.3 21%

Endgame

19.4 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.9pts

Blue projected score42.6pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.3
Score range: 28–130
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 84.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.5Season APEX153.4

20.9Auto18.7

60.5Teleop10.3

29Endgame19.4

61Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	10
teleop	119	39
endgame	76	23
foul	20	0
total	229	72

Result

Final score

229 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 71.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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