PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

3.65 – 41.42

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.6 ±10.4

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 24.17Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

6023DISCBOTS

Season APEX 78.5Event APEX -20.09Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8866Innovation Robotics

Season APEX 90.7Event APEX -0.43Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 147.1 ±12.4

8761AHS TigerByte8761

Season APEX 38Event APEX -0.42Rank 25Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 33.71Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 8.13Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8736, 6023, 8866

/ 100 compat

Projected

3.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8736, 6023, 8866

Auto

10.1 100%

Teleop

-20.0 0%

Endgame

11.3 100%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8761, 11214, 9770

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8761, 11214, 9770

Auto

14.0 41%

Teleop

16.5 49%

Endgame

3.4 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score3.7pts

Blue projected score41.4pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 14%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.8
Score range: -11–56
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 92 vs event baseline 83.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.6Season APEX147.1

10.1Auto14

-20Teleop16.5

11.3Endgame3.4

44Consistency138

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	18
teleop	18	17
endgame	2	16
foul	0	0
total	41	51

Result

Final score

41 – 51

Prediction correct · off by 23.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.