Qualification · Qualification 23
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
104.87 – 0
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
184 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 79.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 439.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 69.99Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 6.1Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 28.78Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.6 ±10.4
Season APEX 64.2Event APEX -6.8Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 3.04Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 1.16Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6919, 4026, 1746
77
/ 100 compatProjected
104.9 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6919, 4026, 1746
Auto
21.3 21%
Teleop
49.0 48%
Endgame
31.3 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6887, 3329, 5608
7
/ 100 compatProjected
-2.6 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6887, 3329, 5608
Auto
7.5 0%
Teleop
-11.3 100%
Endgame
0.0 0%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 39%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.64
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score104.9pts
Blue projected score-2.6pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 39%, blue 18%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 104.9
- Score range
- -14–119
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
439.9Season APEX186.6
21.3Auto7.5
49Teleop-11.3
31.3Endgame0
75Consistency140
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 39 | 9 |
| teleop | 111 | 35 |
| endgame | 34 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 20 |
| total | 184 | 79 |
Result
Final score
184 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 79.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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