PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.63 – 47.36

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 361.2 ±9.8

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 6.01Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 100.09Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8736The Mechanisms

Season APEX 83.4Event APEX 36.53Rank 11Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 157 ±12.8

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 26Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7514EVE Robotics

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 9.18Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8849Storm Robotics

Season APEX 18.7Event APEX 12.18Rank 30Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5608, 6919, 8736

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5608, 6919, 8736

Auto

33.3 24%

Teleop

70.7 51%

Endgame

34.6 25%

Strengths

· 6919 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 832, 7514, 8849

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 832, 7514, 8849

Auto

11.3 26%

Teleop

20.9 49%

Endgame

10.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.6pts

Blue projected score47.4pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 19%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.3
Score range: 28–162
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 103.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

361.2Season APEX157

33.3Auto11.3

70.7Teleop20.9

34.6Endgame10.6

38Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	3	5
teleop	54	4
endgame	54	8
foul	0	0
total	111	17

Result

Final score

111 – 17

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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