PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.43 – 113.63

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

51 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 155.2 ±11.2

6712Mountaineers

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 12.73Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11214[CY]BEARCATS robotics

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 23.52Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5608Lassiter Robotics

Season APEX 45.3Event APEX 0.18Rank 27Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.7 ±10.5

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -11.41Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 111.6Rank 7Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 13.44Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6712, 11214, 5608

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6712, 11214, 5608

Auto

8.0 24%

Teleop

18.1 54%

Endgame

7.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7676, 2974, 5900

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7676, 2974, 5900

Auto

17.7 16%

Teleop

52.5 49%

Endgame

37.9 35%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 14%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.73 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.4pts

Blue projected score113.6pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 14%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.2
Score range: 23–127
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 73.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

155.2Season APEX310.7

8Auto17.7

18.1Teleop52.5

7.5Endgame37.9

100Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	37
teleop	14	99
endgame	9	40
foul	0	0
total	51	176

Result

Final score

51 – 176

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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