Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
34.01 – 136.02
22%78%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
89 – 127
Prediction correct · off by 32 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 2.25Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 28.03Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 3.73Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 67.2Event APEX 11.42Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 32Event APEX 45.35Rank 17Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 79.25Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3329, 10376, 9770
34
/ 100 compatProjected
34 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 3329, 10376, 9770
Auto
15.1 50%
Teleop
7.4 25%
Endgame
7.5 25%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5219, 10338, 6919
71
/ 100 compatProjected
136 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5219, 10338, 6919
Auto
1.3 1%
Teleop
61.2 47%
Endgame
67.9 52%
Strengths
- · 6919 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 23%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 1.89
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score34pts
Blue projected score136pts
Red win probability22%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 23%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -102
- Score range
- 21–149
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
150.3Season APEX331.7
15.1Auto1.3
7.4Teleop61.2
7.5Endgame67.9
61Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 33 |
| teleop | 64 | 51 |
| endgame | 7 | 43 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 89 | 127 |
Result
Final score
89 – 127
Prediction correct · off by 32 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.