Qualification · Qualification 13
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
90.73 – 10.64
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
160 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 61.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 329.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 34.1Event APEX 28.33Rank 26Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 49.63Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 12.77Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 173.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -18.99Rank 31Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 24.75Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 4.88Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4730, 6919, 4112
81
/ 100 compatProjected
90.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 4730, 6919, 4112
Auto
9.1 11%
Teleop
41.6 49%
Endgame
34.4 40%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7676, 11214, 832
14
/ 100 compatProjected
10.6 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7676, 11214, 832
Auto
15.8 100%
Teleop
-13.2 0%
Endgame
2.3 47%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 35%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.85 · Blue 0.74
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score90.7pts
Blue projected score10.6pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample154alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 35%, blue 16%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 80.1
- Score range
- -1–103
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
329.7Season APEX173.2
9.1Auto15.8
41.6Teleop-13.2
34.4Endgame2.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 28 | 20 |
| teleop | 94 | 33 |
| endgame | 38 | 6 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 160 | 64 |
Result
Final score
160 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 61.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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