PCH District Dalton Event presented by Shaw Industries

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

188.1 – 217.4

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

240 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 434.3 ±9.3

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 83.21Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 92.2Rank 7Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6905Raiders of the ARC- TEAR-A-BYTE

Season APEX 40Event APEX 12.69Rank 28Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 547 ±9.3

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 14.89Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6919The Commodores

Season APEX 232.5Event APEX 99.17Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1002CircuitRunners Robotics

Season APEX 265.3Event APEX 103.34Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6829, 2974, 6905

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6829, 2974, 6905

Auto

27.1 15%

Teleop

96.6 53%

Endgame

57.5 32%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5900, 6919, 1002

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.4 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5900, 6919, 1002

Auto

42.5 20%

Teleop

115.2 53%

Endgame

58.6 27%

Strengths

· 1002 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score188.1pts

Blue projected score217.4pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample154alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.3
Score range: 170–235
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 493 vs event baseline 101.6.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

434.3Season APEX547

27.1Auto42.5

96.6Teleop115.2

57.5Endgame58.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	41
teleop	96	164
endgame	92	43
foul	20	5
total	240	253

Result

Final score

240 – 253

Prediction correct · off by 43.8 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.