PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

252.7 – 97.88

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.6 ±9.9

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 171.21Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -3.04Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 84.53Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 294.5 ±11

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 32.81Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 51.71Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 13.36Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 7676, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 7676, 4188

Auto

48.1 19%

Teleop

140.0 56%

Endgame

61.2 25%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3329, 6925, 4468

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3329, 6925, 4468

Auto

24.1 24%

Teleop

53.9 54%

Endgame

21.1 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score252.7pts

Blue projected score97.9pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.8
Score range: 79–272
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 108.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.6Season APEX294.5

48.1Auto24.1

140Teleop53.9

61.2Endgame21.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	23
teleop	106	42
endgame	37	24
foul	10	0
total	197	89

Result

Final score

197 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 32.3 pts

Match videos

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