PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

67.92 – 56.66

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

67 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 20.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 130.9 ±12.8

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 25.68Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 32.62Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 9.62Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.6 ±12.2

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 36.66Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 12.12Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 7.88Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10376, 6887, 9086

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 10376, 6887, 9086

Auto

16.9 26%

Teleop

31.2 48%

Endgame

16.9 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9480, 7104, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.7 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9480, 7104, 5828

Auto

12.7 23%

Teleop

26.3 47%

Endgame

17.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.38 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.9pts

Blue projected score56.7pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.3
Score range: 37–88
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 163 vs event baseline 108.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

130.9Season APEX169.6

16.9Auto12.7

31.2Teleop26.3

16.9Endgame17.4

27Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	31
teleop	27	51
endgame	14	14
foul	5	0
total	67	96

Result

Final score

67 – 96

Prediction missed · off by 20.1 pts

Match videos

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