PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

150.58 – 96.77

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

244 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 49.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.7 ±10.4

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 15.89Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 41.26Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 93.43Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.6 ±10.4

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 17.57Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 40.53Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1414IHOT

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 38.67Rank 12Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3815, 832, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3815, 832, 4026

Auto

43.4 30%

Teleop

74.0 50%

Endgame

29.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4112, 3635, 1414

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4112, 3635, 1414

Auto

21.2 21%

Teleop

54.6 55%

Endgame

24.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.66 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score150.6pts

Blue projected score96.8pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 53.8
Score range: 78–170
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 346 vs event baseline 106.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.7Season APEX202.6

43.4Auto21.2

74Teleop54.6

29.2Endgame24

19Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	15
teleop	138	57
endgame	49	30
foul	0	0
total	244	102

Result

Final score

244 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 49.3 pts

Match videos

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