PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

99.03 – 48.99

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

106 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 29 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 294.5 ±11

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 32.9Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 52.27Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 13.86Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.6 ±12.2

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 34.15Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 9.59Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 5.25Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3329, 6925, 4468

/ 100 compat

Projected

99 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3329, 6925, 4468

Auto

24.2 24%

Teleop

52.1 52%

Endgame

24.3 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9480, 7104, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

49 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9480, 7104, 5828

Auto

9.2 18%

Teleop

22.3 45%

Endgame

18.5 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.7 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score99pts

Blue projected score49pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50
Score range: 30–118
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 206 vs event baseline 107.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

294.5Season APEX169.6

24.2Auto9.2

52.1Teleop22.3

24.3Endgame18.5

0Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	28
teleop	68	51
endgame	12	16
foul	0	5
total	106	100

Result

Final score

106 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 29 pts

Match videos

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