PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

270.09 – 68.48

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

202 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.6 ±9.9

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 176.5Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 3Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 90.59Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 130.9 ±12.8

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 25.84Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 32.39Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 10.25Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 7676, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 7676, 4188

Auto

50.9 19%

Teleop

150.9 57%

Endgame

65.1 24%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10376, 6887, 9086

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10376, 6887, 9086

Auto

15.8 24%

Teleop

33.1 51%

Endgame

15.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score270.1pts

Blue projected score68.5pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 201.6
Score range: 49–289
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 275 vs event baseline 106.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.6Season APEX130.9

50.9Auto15.8

150.9Teleop33.1

65.1Endgame15.8

0Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	22
teleop	108	29
endgame	47	22
foul	5	0
total	202	73

Result

Final score

202 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 36.3 pts

Match videos

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