PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

242.87 – 171.44

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

327 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 475.6 ±9.9

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 168.33Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX -6.45Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 80.99Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.7 ±10.4

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 24.24Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

832OSCAR

Season APEX 66.4Event APEX 48.04Rank 3Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 99.16Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 7676, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 7676, 4188

Auto

47.0 20%

Teleop

134.9 57%

Endgame

56.6 24%

Strengths

· 2974 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3815, 832, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3815, 832, 4026

Auto

44.9 27%

Teleop

89.5 53%

Endgame

34.6 20%

Strengths

· 4026 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score242.9pts

Blue projected score171.4pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 71.4
Score range: 151–263
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 518 vs event baseline 109.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

475.6Season APEX217.7

47Auto44.9

134.9Teleop89.5

56.6Endgame34.6

0Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	51
teleop	181	102
endgame	80	38
foul	0	0
total	327	191

Result

Final score

327 – 191

Prediction correct · off by 51.8 pts

Match videos

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