PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.41 – 63.97

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

173 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.8 ±9.3

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 34.16Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3344Space Dragons

Season APEX 44.3Event APEX 6.11Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 102.14Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 169.6 ±12.2

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 39.08Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 14.57Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 10.32Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7451, 3344, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7451, 3344, 6829

Auto

22.4 16%

Teleop

88.1 64%

Endgame

28.0 20%

Strengths

· 6829 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9480, 7104, 5828

/ 100 compat

Projected

64 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9480, 7104, 5828

Auto

15.7 25%

Teleop

31.4 49%

Endgame

16.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142.4pts

Blue projected score64pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.4
Score range: 44–162
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 265 vs event baseline 109.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.8Season APEX169.6

22.4Auto15.7

88.1Teleop31.4

28Endgame16.8

14Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	34
teleop	74	44
endgame	69	4
foul	15	10
total	173	92

Result

Final score

173 – 92

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts

Match videos

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