PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

76.17 – 24.27

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

260 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 93.3 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 374.9 ±11.2

2974Walton Robotics

Season APEX 230.2Event APEX 40.98Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10376Plutonium Panthers

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 7.46Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4026Decatur Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 27.73Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 123.4 ±11.6

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 11.53Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4468Fernbank LINKS

Season APEX 45.9Event APEX 11.53Rank 23Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7676THS RoboDogs

Season APEX 31.3Event APEX 1.21Rank 21Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2974, 10376, 4026

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2974, 10376, 4026

Auto

16.4 23%

Teleop

54.5 78%

Endgame

-1.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3815, 4468, 7676

/ 100 compat

Projected

24.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3815, 4468, 7676

Auto

8.6 44%

Teleop

9.0 46%

Endgame

2.0 10%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 0.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.2pts

Blue projected score24.3pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 17%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.9
Score range: 12–88
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 69.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

374.9Season APEX123.4

16.4Auto8.6

54.5Teleop9

-1Endgame2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	11
teleop	141	6
endgame	74	10
foul	0	0
total	260	27

Result

Final score

260 – 27

Prediction correct · off by 93.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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