PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

35.3 – 53.87

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

60 – 9

Prediction missed · off by 34.8 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 328.1 ±10.7

9582HHS NASA Snaggbotics

Season APEX 20.6Event APEX 3.68Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7451AvengerRobotics

Season APEX 143.4Event APEX 11.23Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 20.39Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.3 ±12.8

9057G.I.R.L.

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX 35.33Rank 26Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3635Flying Legion

Season APEX 67.7Event APEX 11.97Rank 14Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4459LeoTechs

Season APEX 28.4Event APEX 6.57Rank 29Record 1-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9582, 7451, 6829

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9582, 7451, 6829

Auto

10.6 36%

Teleop

20.7 71%

Endgame

-2.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9057, 3635, 4459

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9057, 3635, 4459

Auto

13.8 28%

Teleop

28.3 58%

Endgame

7.1 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.3pts

Blue projected score53.9pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 30%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.6
Score range: 22–67
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 69 vs event baseline 74.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

328.1Season APEX128.3

10.6Auto13.8

20.7Teleop28.3

-2.2Endgame7.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	9
teleop	43	0
endgame	0	0
foul	0	0
total	60	9

Result

Final score

60 – 9

Prediction missed · off by 34.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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