PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

84.29 – 32.85

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

100 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.9 ±12.4

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 13.71Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

9086Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 29.21Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4188Columbus Space Program

Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 41.37Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.9 ±12.2

5828Flying Riots

Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 13.71Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9770Victory Church of Christ Robo Knights

Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 13.71Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 5.43Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7104, 9086, 4188

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7104, 9086, 4188

Auto

15.5 19%

Teleop

45.7 55%

Endgame

22.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5828, 9770, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5828, 9770, 6887

Auto

9.2 28%

Teleop

15.7 48%

Endgame

8.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.3pts

Blue projected score32.9pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 20%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.4
Score range: 20–97
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 147 vs event baseline 74.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.9Season APEX146.9

15.5Auto9.2

45.7Teleop15.7

22.4Endgame8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	38	22
endgame	51	10
foul	0	0
total	100	47

Result

Final score

100 – 47

Prediction correct · off by 14.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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