PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

97.84 – 71.55

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 301.5 ±11.7

4240TroTek Warriors

Season APEX 52.2Event APEX 8.42Rank 24Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 40.03Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6925W.A.Robotics

Season APEX 171.5Event APEX 49.39Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 189.4 ±10.4

5900The Fighting Mongooses

Season APEX 49.2Event APEX 23.76Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3329Wildbots

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 31.87Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 15.92Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4240, 9480, 6925

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4240, 9480, 6925

Auto

27.0 27%

Teleop

49.4 50%

Endgame

22.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5900, 3329, 4112

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5900, 3329, 4112

Auto

18.3 25%

Teleop

38.8 54%

Endgame

15.0 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.53 · Blue 1.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.8pts

Blue projected score71.6pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.3
Score range: 51–119
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 169 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

301.5Season APEX189.4

27Auto18.3

49.4Teleop38.8

22.8Endgame15

47Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	14
teleop	31	49
endgame	37	25
foul	0	0
total	81	88

Result

Final score

81 – 88

Prediction missed · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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