PCH District Columbus Event presented by Muscogee County School District (CTAE) and Columbus Development Authority

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

106.06 – 87.13

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

186 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.9 ±11.2

4112EagleBots

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 11.75Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6829Ignite Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 91.52Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7104The Bot Brothers

Season APEX 42.7Event APEX 2.79Rank 8Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.2 ±10.4

3815NF Raiders

Season APEX 46.2Event APEX 17.78Rank 27Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9480The Gear Bears

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 35.24Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6887Dalton Catabots

Season APEX 64.2Event APEX 34.11Rank 22Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4112, 6829, 7104

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4112, 6829, 7104

Auto

17.5 17%

Teleop

69.1 66%

Endgame

17.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3815, 9480, 6887

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3815, 9480, 6887

Auto

18.1 21%

Teleop

44.4 53%

Endgame

21.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.1pts

Blue projected score87.1pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 23%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.9
Score range: 68–125
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 254 vs event baseline 106.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

269.9Season APEX188.2

17.5Auto18.1

69.1Teleop44.4

17.8Endgame21.7

89Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	18
teleop	139	27
endgame	23	23
foul	0	0
total	186	68

Result

Final score

186 – 68

Prediction correct · off by 49.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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