Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
39.84 – 167.06
17%83%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
50 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 55.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 109.8 ±13.3
Season APEX 33.6Event APEX 23.75Rank 28Record 2-9-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 49.1Event APEX 5.59Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 27.1Event APEX 10.5Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 85.62Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 20.6Event APEX -1.21Rank 25Record 3-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 214.1Event APEX 82.65Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9770, 5828, 9086
33
/ 100 compatProjected
39.8 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9770, 5828, 9086
Auto
11.8 33%
Teleop
12.0 33%
Endgame
12.4 34%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4026, 9582, 4188
83
/ 100 compatProjected
167.1 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 4026, 9582, 4188
Auto
48.4 29%
Teleop
84.6 50%
Endgame
35.6 21%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 21%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score39.8pts
Blue projected score167.1pts
Red win probability17%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 21%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -127.2
- Score range
- 21–186
- Upset likelihood
- 17%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
109.8Season APEX339.8
11.8Auto48.4
12Teleop84.6
12.4Endgame35.6
38Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 50 |
| teleop | 19 | 149 |
| endgame | 18 | 69 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 50 | 268 |
Result
Final score
50 – 268
Prediction correct · off by 55.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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